MARIAN Tropical Cyclone-8th for South Indian Ocean

Rapid formation and Intensification



MARIAN Tropical Cyclone has formed and intensified rapidly in the Area Of Responsibility (AOR) of Australian Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM). It has been closely monitored by ABOM since last week. MARIAN is tracking towards the South South-West. Its name will continue to be the same even after it invades the AOR of Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS). As such, it is the 8th Cyclone for the South Indian Ocean Basin.

 

As at date, MARIAN Intense Tropical Cyclone has entered in the AOR of MMS (Longitude 900 East to 550 West) since Sunday 28 February 2021. The system is forecasted to stay here for some days and then track South-East returning towards South-West of Australia. MARIAN will weaken thereon during this week. Moreover Queensland, Australia is under the threat of another Low  Pressure accompanied with Moderate Rains.

 

Australia ABOM’s Advisories published are as follows: 

 

[[[IDW24000

Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN

Issued at 8:55 am WST on Saturday 27 February 2021

 

Tropical Cyclone Marian (Category 2) was located at 8:00 am AWST near 14.8S 95.0E, that is 350 km southwest of Cocos Island and 1260 km west southwest of Christmas Island and moving west southwest at 15 kilometres per hour.

 

Tropical Cyclone Marian, category 2, will continue tracking to the west

southwest over the weekend, taking it further away from the Islands.

 

Marian is expected to strengthen over the weekend. On Monday, it is expected to start moving to the southeast and then start a gradual weakening trend on

Tuesday.

 

Squally northwesterly winds at the Cocos Islands are expected to ease during Saturday morning.

 

The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 3 pm AWST. ]]] 

 

[[[IDW24000

Australian Bureau of Meteorology

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

 

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN

Issued at 3:02 pm WST on Monday 1 March 2021

 

Severe Tropical Cyclone Marian (Category 3) was located at 2:00 pm AWST near 17.9S 90.0E, that is 970 km southwest of Cocos Island and moving west southwest at 7 kilometres per hour. Severe Tropical Cyclone Marian will continue tracking to the southwest over the Indian Ocean this evening. On Tuesday it is expected to start moving to the southeast and start a gradual weakening trend.

 

The next Information Bulletin will be issued at 9 pm AW.]]]

 

The Weather Bulletin issued by MMS is as follows:

{{{Forecast Bulletin - Mauritius

WEATHER NEWS FOR MAURITIUS ISSUED AT 04H30 ON SATURDAY 27 FEBRUARY 2021.

Supplementary information:

The severe tropical storm  'MARIAN' has intensified into a tropical cyclone during the night. It continues to move towards the west-south-west at about 30 km/h. It will not influence the weather over the Mascarene islands.}}}

 

The MMS released the following today Monday 01 March 2021:

{{{Intense tropical cyclone 'MARIAN' has weakened into a tropical cyclone during the night.

It is evolving very far to the ENE of the Mascarenes.

It is moving in a west-South-Westerly direction at about 08 km/h and will not influence weather over our region.}}}

PKANHYE. 11.50 am MONDAY 01 MARCH 2021.


Satellite Animation